Punditz tournament report
World Cup · 2026
How the crowd read World Cup
Every prediction across 104 matches, read back against what actually happened.
The final
Spain0:0
AET 1:0
ArgentinaSpain are champions
The readout
What the crowd believed
104 matches analysed
Exact-score rate
10%
Across eligible fixtures
Favourite scoreline
2:1
The crowd’s most common call
Round by round
Accuracy under pressure
59%
Group Stage - Round 1-2
65%
Group Stage - Round 3 to Round of 32
50%
Round of 16 to Quarter-finals
11%
Semi-finals to Third-place Final
0%
Final
Trust index
Who the crowd misread
Uruguay
56%Germany
50%Portugal
40%Czechia
34%